Rus // Eng - Expert opinion & News
Diagram of correspondence between solar activity (Wolf numbers) and most powerful meteor fire-balls
View image separately
Fire-balls are shown on the diagram: Tunguska (1908), Brazilian (1930), Katavsky (1941), Sikhote-Alin (1947), Vitim (2002), Chelyabinsk (2013)
We warn about high probability of powerful fire-ball during 2024-2027. This probability of ~50% is based on the diagram above. Well visible on the diagram that powerful fire-balls take place mainly on years of high solar activity. Therefore probability of powerful fire-balls increase approximately every 11 years. Especially important to notice, that dangerous space body is able to appear from the region of sun on the sky. Therefore it will be very difficult for discover.
View image separately
In 1996 A.E.Zlobin explained mechanism of solar activity by impacts of space bodies from spiral cloud of comets. The effect of Jupiter gravity determine this mechanism. Above you can see scheme of bombing of Sun with space bodies which are contained in spiral cloud of comets and moves from far space due to Jupiter gravity
View image separately
A.E.Zlobin's opinion is that Tunguska fire-ball in Siberia (1908) and Carolina Bays in USA looks like similar events. Also Carolina Bays may be stated as powerful comet downpour. Elliptical fingerprints of Carolina Bays and Tunguska are similar on the picture above. Even direction of motion looks similar too.
Quasi Three-dimensional Modeling of Tunguska event by A.E.Zlobin stated real direction of motion and real size of Tunguska space body. The size of Tunguska comet body and the size of Ostankino tower in Moscow (540 m) is shown above near each other.
View image separately